Author: Karlina Ozolina

The KADI project envisions the development of knowledge and co-production of climate services through an African observation and data research infrastructure. Within this framework, the project team in Kenya organised a workshop to bring together stakeholders of weather and climate information provided by the Kenya Meteorological Department for a discussion on how to understand user needs with the aim of co-producing better climate services.

Assessing weather and climate information use in Kenya

The impacts of climate change in Kenya cannot be ignored. Agriculture, a cornerstone of the economy, is particularly vulnerable with climate variability leading to reduced crop yields, food insecurity, and economic instability, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. Water resources are also under threat as changing rainfall patterns affect the availability of freshwater resources. Rising temperatures contribute to the spread of vector-borne diseases like malaria, impacting public health. Additionally, frequent floods and landslides damage infrastructure, disrupt transportation networks, and affect energy production. The Country’s demand for climate services is increasing and becoming more sophisticated, requiring improved technologies and approaches.

According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics Economic survey 2024, some key sectors contributing to the Kenyan economy are Agriculture, Construction, Energy, Environment and Natural resources, Health, ICT, Money, Banking and Finance, Transport, Education and training, Tourism, Governance and peace security, Social and Economic. These sectors are vulnerable to climate variance and providing climate information to support decision making will reduce the expected impact to these sectors and overall cushion the economy from adverse shocks. Representation from these sectors was viewed as a key to achieving the workshops objectives.

KADI and its KMD team organised a workshop to bring together various users of climate information services.

The workshop objectives were:

• Assess weather and climate use through a survey
• Identify gaps in weather and information use
• Document weather and climate services in Kenya

With a main mission to improve the uptake of national climate services, the workshop’s intent was also to develop coordination between actors and stakeholders along the country’s climate services value chain. The envisioned value chain includes observations networks & monitoring systems, user interface platforms, research, modelling and prediction, climate services information systems, and capacity building.

Participants for the workshop were drawn from a pool of frequent users of climate information (both forecast and ground data) from the National weather service, Kenya Meteorological Department. Organisation representatives from key sectors in the country were also present.

The feedback received formed a basis of evaluating the service provided, the gaps experienced and recommendations and suggestions to improve the products and services provided by KMD.

Summary of workshop findings

All the participants acknowledged the importance of climate information in their operations. In agriculture for example, weather forms a critical part of their planning from advising farmers on planting weeding to harvest and storage of food including crop insurance. For livestock farming weather assists in fodder availability, destock and input storage. Data as an input is crucial in producing climate information.

Review and recommendation for future expansions of the observation system

Sectors showed support in collaborating to improve and expand the national observation network and system. The energy sector confirmed hosting automatic weather stations at their plants and sites. An expansive station network provides critical data useful for producing climate information. Most participants were agreeable to hosting of observing stations and collaborations in sharing of data.

Requirements for environmental research infrastructure

All participants admitted to the changing climate being a concern in their operations. Most organizations are already setting up climate units to improve the take up of climate information provided by the National Meteorological Service. These units require openly available weather /climate data, capacity building, software and hardware support to enhance their sector specific research.

Emerging frontiers in climate information

• Investment in research on new technologies such as cloud seeding. What are the possibilities and impacts of such technology in the climate arena. There is also demand for accessible data and information on pollution and GHG.
• Climate projections and simulations into various sectors e.g. financial and health sectors. Such data should be available in a relatively ingestible format.
• Conversion of weather data into sector specific implications and use. E.g. Can rainfall data be incorporated into intensity. Sectors can support KMD in knowing what data they want.
• Research infrastructure involves both soft and hard infrastructure; appreciating social and cultural dimensions in the changing face of science.

Lessons learned

• Participants appreciated the hybrid format of the workshop. Those unable to travel to the venue could still participate.
• The Kenya Meteorological Department will coordinate a system that supports the sharing of information and feedback.

Appreciation for the success of the workshop goes to:

1. TheKADI Project Consortium
2. The Director of the Kenya Meteorological Department
3. Kenya Meteorological Department KADI Team:

• Mr. Kennedy Thiongo
• Dr. Geoffrey Ogutu
• Ms. Patricia Nyinguro HSC
• Dr. Joyce Kimutai
• Ms. Christine Mahonga

4. The key organisations who accepted the workshop invitation and sent their representatives.

Earlier in April 2024, KADI partners from the Resilience Academy visited the premises of Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) in Helsinki. The FMI is housed on the same building as the ICOS Head Office, therefore this was the ideal opportunity to hear about the FMI’s activities in Africa as well as share ICOS’ work in KADI. The meeting began with an introduction to the work done in ICOS and the work done in KADI. This was followed by presentation of the different projects represented.

The Finnish Meteorological Institute’s regional project FINKERAT aims to increase East African societies’ preparedness for extreme weather events and to improve air quality monitoring in Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania. The project aims to increase the capacity of meteorological institutes in Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania to provide more efficient and timely weather forecasts, early warning services and air quality services for the benefit of communities, administrative institutions, the economy and political decision-makers. It develops community-based early warning systems and proactive approaches together with the Finnish Red Cross and the Red Cross Societies in Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania.

The Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems (CREWS) initiative is a financial mechanism which funds projects in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS) to establish risk-informed early warning services. CREWS is coordinated by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and includes Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, South Sudan and Uganda. CREWS works directly with countries to increase the availability of and access to early warning systems.

Based on the discussions and presentations, the possible areas of collaboration are:

• Encourage the uptake of KADI’s approach by the WMO. For example by showcasing the Resilience Academy’s approach to climate services and citizen science
• Develop a common curriculum for climate science.
• Seek collaboration with the DARAJA project. The aim of the DARAJA project is to co-produce weather and climate information services, which are particularly relevant to urban informal settlement communities in Tanzania (Dar es Salaam) and Kenya (Nairobi).
• Joint initiatives for scaling up or broadening successful African climate services.
• Plan for joint activities, for instance at the next KADI Annual meeting.

It has been estimated that improved weather and climate services, and early warning systems may benefit up to 130 million people (directly and indirectly). KADI project is committed to the development of climate services in Africa and to the collaboration with other projects and initiatives in this field.

In this report, we highlight the stakeholder engagement and partnerships of the Abidjan City Pilot in terms of the roles, resources and expertise that would be useful for the pilot.

In this pilot, the climate service that will be designed is a particulate pollution warning system through a PM2.5 measurements network and an effective communication in collaboration with stakeholders and the local population, using a participatory approach. The stakeholder engagements are related to the different actors who would contribute to this. The pilot will make use of continuous measurements of atmospheric particles (PM2.5 PM10, OC and BC) and gases (SO2, NH3, NO2, O3 and HNO3) at various sites. Three measuring devices (CairNET) have been acquired to reinforce the measurement sites, but several instruments are needed to cover the whole city of Abidjan. The stakeholders who will contribute to setting up the climate service have been identified. Discussions have been started with some of them, including INHP (Institut National d’Hygiène Publique), CIAPOL (Centre Ivoirien Anti-Pollution), SODEXAM (Société d’Exploitation et de Développement Aéroportuaire, Aéronautique et Météorologie) and ANAGED (Agence Nationale de Gestion des déchets). These discussions focus on protocols for co-designing the climate service and on what is expected from the stakeholders. In addition, there are already measurements of particulate matter (PM2.5) and a pollutant dispersion model to be used.

Meeting the representatives of Institut National d’Hygiène Publique (INHP)

In the beginning of February, the KADI team in Abidjan met with the Deputy-director of INHP under the Ministry of Health and Public Hygiene and the discussions focused on the approach and pilot sites.

The participatory approach involves interacting and working with the inhabitants, local communities and administrative bodies on the project. The INHP trains public health workers to strengthen the system and administers a questionnaire to patients when they visit the health centres. The INHP has a sociological and scientific database as part of the projects piloted by public health in all the dispensaries and CHUs (University Hospital Centres) in the Cocody municipality. This database will be made available to the KADI team and updated with pollution-related aspects.

For this city pilot collaboration, the chosen site is the municipality of Bingerville. It is representative of the city of Abidjan, with high-standard houses as well as precarious neighbourhoods. The KADI team and the INHP team have already carried out several projects on this site.

Strengthening the partnership with Centre Ivoirien Anti-Pollution (CIAPOL)

Later in February, the KADI team met with CIAPOL, which oversees the monitoring air quality in Côte d’Ivoire. The discussions focused on the existing partnership with CIAPOL on the monitoring and evaluation of the National Observation Network of Côte d’Ivoire. The CIAPOL team and the KADI team at the UFHB are also working on other projects such as POLLUMETRE, Sustainable Cities and PTUA. CIAPOL can provide data on air pollution in the industrial sector. The UFHB team can merge the data sources to have a more complete database. CIAPOL will also help in the field with the technical aspects of questionnaires and meetings with local people. They will also contribute to dissemination as the national body responsible for air quality. The meeting was followed by the signing of an official letter of agreement for the collaboration.

Collaboration with SOCEXAM (Société d’Exploitation et de Développement Aéroportuaire, Aéronautique et Météorologie) on pollution and heatwave modelling

SODEXAM was another one of the stakeholders with whom the Abidjan team met in February. It is the Airport, Aeronautics and Meteorological Operating and Development Company in Côte d’Ivoire. It is responsible for national meteorology, airport operation and development, air navigation and aviation.

The discussion with KADI focused on the climatic and meteorological data needed for our pollutant dispersion monitoring model. Based on SODEXAM’s long experience, the model to be used for air quality forecasting was also discussed. SODEXAM is already providing forecasts on heatwaves in Abidjan which will be a valuable experience to inform the climate service design. The meeting was followed by the signing of a collaboration agreement.

Tackling residential pollution awareness with ANAGED

ANAGED (Agence Nationale de Gestion des Déchets) was one of the stakeholders with whom the KADI Abidjan team connected. ANAGED oversees the measures to control and sanction residential pollution. The KADI partners met with directors and their teams, including the Heads of operations, monitoring, regulating, sanctioning and managing all solid wastes, and communication.

The discussion focused on the identification of the different sources of pollution, mainly the residential and domestique sources.  ANAGED agreed to help ensure and take adequate measures and provide evidence of residential pollution. They could help raise awareness of the population on residential pollution and the behavior to adopt to reduce the risk. They could also support the participatory approach and facilitate meetings and interactions with the city inhabitants.

In February 2024, a research article on the African Regional Greenhouse Gases Budget (2010–2019) by Yolandi Ernst and colleagues was published in Global Biochemical Cycles. As part of the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Phase 2 (RECCAP2) initiative of the Global Carbon Project, the paper addresses the policy-relevant objectives of RECCAP2 through a comprehensive overview of improved estimates of CO2, CH4, and N2O fluxes and variability.

The authors show that Africa’s sink capacity is decreasing and that the continent most likely switched from a small net sink to a small net source during the 2010–2019 period. The authors also stressed the importance of more observations to improve the large uncertainties in their estimates.

Currently, Africa is home to approximately 1.4 billion people, with projections indicating a population surge to over 2 billion by 2040. This dramatic increase necessitates extensive land conversion for agricultural production to feed the growing populace and drive economic growth. Concurrently, heavy utilisation of land for grazing, fuelwood, and other natural resources further strains the continent’s ecosystems. There is significant global interest in leveraging African landscapes to store carbon and offset global carbon emissions. However, these efforts are complicated by the competing demands for land and resources.

Understanding Africa’s shifting role in the global carbon cycle requires robust data on carbon-cycle processes and greenhouse gas emissions to accurately quantify the net impact of these competing trends. The full article can be read here.

Some additional perspectives of the KADI Project on carbon markets

A reduction of anthropogenic emissions or a measure to create a carbon sink can be traded. However, it is important to respect some principles. Namely, there must be efforts to create an additional sink that would not be there otherwise. In addition, the sink must be sustained after the measure has ended with monitoring and verification by independent observations.

KADI builds the foundation for an integrated climate observation network. Independent observations cannot be paid for by single projects but require  separate funding (e.g. generated as a fee from each certificate). Independent observations (including models) are needed in the certification system.

Finally, we believe verification of the success of a measure will help avoid fraud and support the development of integrated climate services that underpin solutions with co-benefits and respective policies and initiatives.